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Title:
MODELIRANJE IZBORA SREDSTVA ZA POTOVANJE Z VISOKIMI VREDNOSTMI ČASA (VOT)
Authors:
ID
Špur, Robert
(Author)
ID
Lep, Marjan
(Mentor)
More about this mentor...
ID
Sever, Drago
(Comentor)
Files:
MAG_Spur_Robert_2014.pdf
(2,66 MB)
MD5: 4AF5838E38A513999E33DBEF2624F22C
Language:
Slovenian
Work type:
Master's thesis
Typology:
2.09 - Master's Thesis
Organization:
FGPA - Faculty of Civil Engineering, Transportation Engineering and Architecture
Abstract:
Vsak, ki potuje, se pri izbiri prevoznega sredstva odloča tako, da izbere tisto ponujeno možnost, ki jo občuti kot sebi najustreznejšo. Potniki imajo zelo različne želje in zahteve, različne finančne sposobnosti, nekateri imajo odpor do določenih storitev, nekateri so bolj občutljivi na zamude itd. Vse te posebnosti je nemogoče zajeti v eksaktnih enačbah, zato se v modeliranju prometa pogosto uporabljajo statistične metode s katerimi se poskuša opisati povprečja. Te statistične metode dajo solidno osnovo za presojo učinkov ukrepov. V magistrskem delu so prikazane zakonitosti in lastnosti izbire prevoznega sredstva za poslovne potnike oz. potnike z visokim VOT, katerih izgubljen čas na potovanju se vrednoti višje od povprečnih potnikov. Za določanje načina prihoda na letališče je uporabljen pristop multi-modalnega odločanja z upoštevanjem logistične distribucije (logit). Enačbo smo pripravili in umerili na primeru povezave Ljubljane z letališčem Jožeta Pučnika Ljubljana. Omejili smo se na štiri oblike potovanja na relaciji med Ljubljano in letališčem Jožeta Pučnika Ljubljana (avtomobil kot voznik, kot sopotnik, avtobus, taksi). Generalizirane stroške potovanja smo izračunavali za vrednosti časa 50,00 EUR na uro. Logit enačbo smo umerili na podlagi poznanega modal splita. Nadalje smo analizirali možnosti vključitve nove ponudbe (vlak) na relaciji med Ljubljano in letališčem Jožeta Pučnika Ljubljana ter njen vpliv na izbiro prevoznega sredstva. Na nekaj primerih smo prikazali teoretični odziv potovalcev na različne režime obratovanja vlakovne povezave kakor tudi spremembe cen parkiranja. Zavedajoč se številnih omejitev in poenostavitev, smo vendarle pripravili solidno veljavno in uporabno enačbo, kakršne v slovenskem prometnem načrtovanju še nismo poznali ali uporabljali.
Keywords:
modeliranje prometa
,
logit
,
izbor prevoznega sredstva
,
vrednost časa
,
letališče
,
Ljubljana
Place of publishing:
Maribor
Publisher:
[R. Špur]
Year of publishing:
2014
PID:
20.500.12556/DKUM-44359
UDC:
656.025.2-047.58+656.03(043.2)
COBISS.SI-ID:
17919254
NUK URN:
URN:SI:UM:DK:44BI5TPS
Publication date in DKUM:
03.06.2014
Views:
1976
Downloads:
208
Metadata:
Categories:
KTFMB - FG
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:
ŠPUR, Robert, 2014,
MODELIRANJE IZBORA SREDSTVA ZA POTOVANJE Z VISOKIMI VREDNOSTMI ČASA (VOT)
[online]. Master’s thesis. Maribor : R. Špur. [Accessed 27 April 2025]. Retrieved from: https://dk.um.si/IzpisGradiva.php?lang=eng&id=44359
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Secondary language
Language:
English
Title:
MODELING THE CHOICE OF MEANS OF TRANSPORT WITH HIGH VALUES OF TIME (VOT)
Abstract:
Everyone that travels makes a decision of choosing the most suitable means of transport. Passengers have different wishes and demands, different financial possibilities, some of them even despise certain means of transport, some are more sensitive about the delays etc. All these specialties are impossible to gather in exact equation, so we often use statistical methods in modelling the traffic. In that way we try to describe the average. This is then the solid base for judging the effects of measurements. In magister paper work there are laws and properties of choosing the transport for business passengers mentioned and for passengers with high VOT. Their time is valued in higher grade than average ones. To determine the way of getting to the airport we used multi-modal decision making with considering logistic distribution (logit). The equation was made and prepared on the case of the link between Ljubljana city and the airport of Jože Pučnik Ljubljana. We used four types of travelling in relation Ljubljana – airport of Jože Pučnik Ljubljana. (car as a driver, as co-driver, a bus, a taxi). Generalized costs of travelling were calculated on time values of 50.00 euros per hour. Logit equation was calibrated on basis of known modal split. Later on we analyzed the possibilities of including new offer (the train) in relation Ljubljana – airport of Jože Pučnik Ljubljana and its impact on choosing the means of transport. Theoretical response of passengers on various regimes of train connection was shown in few cases as well as changes of parking price. Being aware of all limits and simplification we finally prepared valid and used equation which has not been known or used in Slovenian traffic planning.
Keywords:
traffic modeling
,
logit
,
choice of travelling means of transport
,
time of value
,
airport
,
Ljubljana
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