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Title:Comparison of the evolution of the COVID-19 disease between Romania and Italy
Authors:Chiruţa, Ciprian (Author)
Bulgariu, Emilian (Author)
Avsec, Jurij (Author)
Ferčec, Brigita (Author)
Mencinger, Matej (Author)
Files:.pdf Applied_System_Innovation_2020_Chiruţă_et_al._Comparison_of_the_Evolution_of_the_COVID-19_Disease_between_Romania_and_Italy.pdf (8,75 MB)
MD5: 8DFAAD7317A104BD577B989D497D08B3
 
URL https://www.mdpi.com/2571-5577/3/4/44/htm
 
Language:English
Work type:Scientific work (r2)
Typology:1.01 - Original Scientific Article
Organization:FGPA - Faculty of Civil Engineering, Transportation Engineering and Architecture
Abstract:After the outbreak of COVID-19 in Italy, thousands of Romanian citizens who worked in Northern Italy, Spain or Germany returned to Romania. Based on the time-dependent susceptible–infected–recovered—SIR model, this paper compares the evolution of the COVID-19 disease between Romania and Italy, assuming that the parameter value of R0 in the time-dependent SIR model decreases to R1 < R0 after publicly announced restrictions by the government, and increases to a value of R2 < R1 when the restrictions are lifted. Among other things, we answer the questions about the date and extent of the second peak in Italy and Romania with respect to different values of R2 and the duration of the restrictions.
Keywords:COVID-19 pandemic evolution, time dependent SIR model, coronavirus
Year of publishing:2020
Number of pages:1-21
Numbering:Št. 4, Vol. 3
UDC:517.97
ISSN on article:2571-5577
COBISS_ID:32804867 New window
DOI:10.3390/asi3040044 New window
NUK URN:URN:SI:UM:DK:G3JJT0UO
Views:167
Downloads:67
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Categories:Misc.
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Record is a part of a journal

Title:Applied system innovation
Shortened title:Appl. syst. innov.
Publisher:MDPI AG
ISSN:2571-5577
COBISS.SI-ID:12053332 New window

Document is financed by a project

Funder:ARRS - Agencija za raziskovalno dejavnost Republike Slovenije (ARRS)
Project no.:P2-0114
Name:Aplikativna elektromagnetika

Funder:ARRS - Agencija za raziskovalno dejavnost Republike Slovenije (ARRS)
Project no.:P1-0306
Name:Uporabna matematika, teoretična fizika in inteligentni sistemi

Funder:ARRS - Agencija za raziskovalno dejavnost Republike Slovenije (ARRS)
Project no.:P1-0288
Name:Algebre in kolobarji

Funder:ARRS - Agencija za raziskovalno dejavnost Republike Slovenije (ARRS)
Project no.:N1-0063
Name:Algebraične metode za uporabo diferencialnih enačb

Licences

License:CC BY 4.0, Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International
Link:http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Description:This is the standard Creative Commons license that gives others maximum freedom to do what they want with the work as long as they credit the author.
Licensing start date:16.12.2020

Secondary language

Language:Slovenian
Keywords:razvoj pandemije COVID-19, časovno odvisen model SIR, koronavirus


Collection

This document is a part of these collections:
  1. Supplementary material for paper Comparison of the evolution of the COVID-19 disease between Romania and Italy

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