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Title:NEVARNOST SEKULARNE STAGNACIJE V RAZVITIH DRŽAVAH
Authors:Potrč, Daniel (Author)
Bekő, Jani (Mentor) More about this mentor... New window
Files:.pdf UN_Potrc_Daniel_2016.pdf (4,21 MB)
MD5: 6CAF206051829DBB855C27A4C3D2D7FD
 
Language:Slovenian
Work type:Undergraduate thesis (m5)
Typology:2.11 - Undergraduate Thesis
Organization:EPF - Faculty of Business and Economics
Abstract:Po finančni krizi leta 2008 so številni ekonomisti verjeli, da si bo gospodarstvo hitro opomoglo. Toda to se ni zgodilo. V zadnjih osmih letih gospodarske napovedi zaostajajo tudi za tistimi najbolj pesimističnimi zgodnjimi pričakovanji. Te nevsakdanje razmere so številne ekonomiste spodbudile, da so ponovno začeli razmišljati o konceptu sekularne stagnacije. Teorija sekularne stagnacije je zaživela z Alvinom Hansenom v tridesetih letih minulega stoletja. Teorija opisuje razmere dolgoročne nizke gospodarske rasti in govori o tem, da v določenih okoliščinah nizke obrestne mere niso dovolj, da bi spodbudile povpraševanje. V tem diplomskem delu predstavljamo teorijo sekularne stagnacije in vzroke tega fenomena. Predstavljamo tudi nekatere novejše interpretacije te teorije. V empiričnem delu našega primerjamo teoretične ugotovitve s statističnimi podatki, da bi ugotovili, če obstaja dokaz o sekularni stagnaciji v sodobnih razvitih gospodarstvih. Diplomsko delo zaključujemo s študijo primera Japonske in njenega več kot dve desetletji dolgega boja proti stagnaciji.
Keywords:sekularna stagnacija, gospodarska rast, ničelna spodnja meja, agregatno povpraševanje, agregatna ponudba, Alvin Hansen, Lawrence Summers
Year of publishing:2016
Publisher:[D. Potrč]
Source:Maribor
UDC:330.3
COBISS_ID:12720156 New window
NUK URN:URN:SI:UM:DK:KBUZ49K3
Views:749
Downloads:84
Metadata:XML RDF-CHPDL DC-XML DC-RDF
Categories:EPF
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Secondary language

Language:English
Title:THE DANGER OF SECULAR STAGNATION IN DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
Abstract:After the 2008 financial crisis, many economists believed that the economy will recover quickly. This was not the case, however. In the last eight years, economic forecasts have been worse than even the most pessimistic early expectations. These unusual circumstances have encouraged many economists to reconsider the concept of secular stagnation. The secular stagnation theory was brought to life by Alvin Hansen in the 1930s and describes the conditions of long-term low economic growth and expounds that in certain circumstances low interest rates do not suffice to stimulate demand. The following diploma thesis presents the secular stagnation theory and the causes of this phenomenon. Additionally, we also provide some recent interpretations of the theory. In the empirical part, we compare theoretical findings with statistical data in order to determine whether there is proof of secular stagnation in modern developed economies. The diploma thesis concludes with a case study on Japan and its over two-decade long fight against stagnation.
Keywords:Secular stagnation, economic growth, zero lower bound, aggregate demand, aggregate supply, Alvin Hansen, Lawrence Summers


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