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Title:TEHNIČNA ANALIZA IN NJENA UPORABA NA DELNIŠKIH IN VALUTNIH TRGIH
Authors:Grobelnik, Klemen (Author)
Zbašnik, Dušan (Mentor) More about this mentor... New window
Files:.pdf UNI_Grobelnik_Klemen_2009.pdf (3,32 MB)
 
Language:Slovenian
Work type:Undergraduate thesis (m5)
Organization:EPF - Faculty of Business and Economics
Abstract:Z razvojem informacijske tehnologije ter pojavom vedno več preprostih trgovalnih platform, ki jih ponujajo razne investicijske družbe ter banke, se vedno več posameznikov odloča za samostojno trgovanje, ki naj bi prineslo velike dobičke. Posamezniki se velikokrat premalo zavedajo tveganja, ki je s samostojnim vstopom na delniške, valutne trge prisotno. Vlagatelji potrebujejo za trgovanje na podlagi tehničnih dejavnikov ogromno teoretičnega znanja in predhodnih izkušenj, zato tehnična analiza ni primerna za neizkušene vlagatelje. Neizkušeni vlagatelji hitro padejo pod vpliv čustev, saj niso prepričani kako določena tehnična orodja med sabo delujejo in jih ne znajo povezati in interpretirati kot celoto. Spoznali smo cenovne grafe, definicijo trenda, območje odpor in podpor, cenovne vzorce obrata in nadaljevanja trenda, ki so eni ključnih dejavnikov pri procesu odločanja za vstop in izstop na trg. Določili smo pomembnejše indikatorje tehnične analize. V prvi skupini so indikatorji, ki pridejo bolj do izraza v močnem trendu bodisi navzgor ali navzdol. Med kazalnike močnega trenda spadajo drseče sredine, MACD — konvergenca in divergenca drsečih sredin, Bollingerjeve ovojnice. V drugo skupino pa spadajo indikatorji, ki postanejo zelo uporabni v času, ko ni izrazitega trenda in se trg nahaja v stranskem trendu oziroma v trgovalnem območju. Najpomembnejša indikatorja v tej skupini sta RSI — indeks relativne moči in počasna stohastika, ki ju uporablja večina trgovalcev. Nastavitve posameznih kazalnikov so odvisne od vsakega finančnega instrumenta in trga posebej. Teoretično znanje smo prenesli na praktične primere, ki so bili narejeni na eni od trgovalnih platform, kjer lahko investitor uporablja različna orodja tehnične analize in trguje na svetovnih, najbolj likvidnih, delniških in valutnih trgih. S trgovanjem po tržnih cenah smo prikazali, kako zelo uporabna je lahko tehnična analiza v realnem svetu. Naredili smo posle na različnih časovnih grafih, pri katerih so bili glavni razlogi za vstop in izstop iz pozicij različna analitična orodja, ki se uporabljajo pri uporabi tehnične analize. Trgovalni primeri so bili izvedeni na različnih finančnih instrumentih in prav tako na različnih trgih s čimer smo dokazali, da tehnična analiza deluje enako na različnih časovnih okvirjih in na raznih likvidnih trgih.
Keywords:TEHNIČNA ANALIZA, GRAFI, TREND, LINIJA PODPORE IN ODPORA, VZORCI NADALJEVANJA TRENDA, VZORCI OBRATA TRENDA, INDIKATORJI, SIMETRIČNI TRIKOTNIK, PADAJOČI TRIKOTNIK, NARAŠČAJOČI TRIKOTNIK, GARTLEY, VZOREC METULJA, POČASNA STOHASTIKA, INDEKS RELATIVNE MOČI, NAVADNE DRSEČE SREDINE, EKSPONENTNE DRSEČE SREDINE, ELLIOTOVI VALOVI, KONVERGENCA DIVERGENCA DRSEČIH SREDIN, BOLINGERJEVE OVOJNICE, EUR/USD, S&P500, DAX30
Year of publishing:2009
Publisher:[K. Grobelnik]
Source:Celje
UDC:336.76
COBISS_ID:10250012 Link is opened in a new window
NUK URN:URN:SI:UM:DK:FEAXJZFM
Views:1866
Downloads:266
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Categories:EPF
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Secondary language

Language:English
Title:TECHNICAL ANALYSIS OF THE FINANCIAL AND CURRENCY MARKETS AND ITS USAGE
Abstract:By the development of information technology and appearance of more simple trading platforms, which are offered by different investment banks and institutions, it could be seen a lot of individuals trying to invest money and make a profit independently on the stock exchange or Forex. Individuals are usually insufficiently aware of the risk which is present at the entering into the markets. Due to a technical analysis trading demands correct use of theoretical knowledge and practical experience. For uneducated investors technical analysis is inappropriate. Inexperienced investors do not know how to combine and interpret different technical tools as a whole. In the thesis are theoretically described different types of charts, definition of the trend, support and resistance area, reversal chart patterns, continuation chart patterns, which are one of the key technical elements at entering into the markets. Theoretically, it has been defined the most important technical indicators of the technical analysis. There are two groups of indicators. In the first group are indicators of trend analysis, which are used in the stronger bull or bear market. In this group are different types of moving averages, MACD, Bollinger bands. In the second group are indicators for analysis of cycles, which are used when markets trend sideways or in the times of short-term market extremes. Sideways markets are fairly common which means that the markets have no special up or down trend. In this group are indicators like RSI-relative strength index and slow stohastic. By using these indicators it can be successfully identify important divergences and areas of oversold and overbought conditions. Theoretical knowledge has been used in practical cases, which were executed in one of the modern trading platforms, where the investors can use different technical tools and trade on the most liquid markets, like stock exchange and Forex. With real time trading it has been seen the usability of technical analysis in the real world. Trades were executed from charts with different time frame. For opening and closing positions were used main technical tools. Trades were executed on the different types of financial instruments and markets. Regarding these trades has been proved that technical analysis works in different time frames and markets.
Keywords:TECHNICAL ANALAYSIS, CHARTS, TREND, SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE AREA, CONTINUATION PATTERNS, REVERSAL PATTERNS, SIMETRICAL TRIALNGLE, ASCENDING TRIANGLE, DESCENDING TRIANGLE, GARTLEY, BUTTERFLY, SLOW STOHASTIC, RELATIVE STRENGTH INDEX, SIMPLE MOVING AVERAGE, EXPONENTIAL MOVING AVERAGE, CONVEGENCE AN DIVERGENCE, BOLLINGER WAVES, EUR/USD, S&P500, DAX30


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