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Risk management according to ISO 31000
Borut Jereb, Matjaž Knez, Darja Kukovič, Tina Cvahte Ojsteršek, Matevž Obrecht, 2016, samostojni znanstveni sestavek ali poglavje v monografski publikaciji

Opis: Organizations of all types and sizes face internal and external factors and influences that make it uncertain whether and when they will achieve their objectives. The effect this uncertainty has on an organization's objectives is «risk». Although the practice of risk management has been developed over time and within many sectors in order to meet diverse needs, the adoption of consistent processes within a comprehensive framework can help to ensure that risk is managed effectively, efficiently and coherently across an organization. The generic approach described in this International Standard provides the principles and guidelines for managing any form of risk in a systematic, transparent and credible manner and within any scope and context. All activities of an organization involve risk. Organizations manage risk by identifying it, analysing it and then evaluating whether the risk should be modified by risk treatment in order to satisfy their risk criteria. Throughout this process, they communicate and consult with stakeholders and monitor and review the risk and the controls that are modifying the risk in order to ensure that no further risk treatment is required. ISO 31000 describes this systematic and logical process in detail. (IS0 31000, 2009).
Ključne besede: risk management, risk analysis, risk evaluation, business, organizations, companies
Objavljeno v DKUM: 10.05.2018; Ogledov: 1397; Prenosov: 111
.pdf Celotno besedilo (1,11 MB)
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Business model optmization based on value management principles - the case of Krka d.d.
Gregor Gavranič, 2017, diplomsko delo

Opis: The subsequent bachelor’s thesis comprises an investment report with equity valuation of Krka, d.d. company, the largest Slovenian company and one of the leading generic pharmaceutical companies in region. Overall, the financial sector is coping with low interest rates and more and more investors are willing to enter the capital markets directly. The Slovenian equity markets was struggling to pick up the pace after the last major financial crisis, which was almost 10 years ago. The bull trend in other major and biggest markets in the world is on to set new records day by day. We try to find out if the company under scrutiny is attractive for investors and what upside potential it has in the future. The analysis is presented trough most appropriate, popular and renowned techniques that surround equity research and is followed by the creation of final recommendation. Those are Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Economic Value Added (EVA), Dividend Discount Model (DDM), Relative Multiples Valuation (RMV). Additionally, the approaches like Porter’s five forces analysis, SWOT analysis, Sensitivity analysis, Altman Z-score, Piotroski F-score, Beneish M-score, and Monte Carlo Simulation (MSC) were made. Since equity markets provide a bigger risk for investors, we try to investigate how risky is a particular company and sector. The investment risks and Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) will help us do that. Risks and the future business surrounding also include macroeconomic analysis, which is also performed and helps us understand the topic under discussion better.. The key part of the thesis presents the building of financial valuation model with many variables and weighting it accordingly. The final fair value price is set and commented. In the conclusion, we summarise all our findings. Furthermore, some relevant facts are exposed and projected into the forecasted period. At the end we can conclude that the Value-based Management (VBM) gives clear result and projects a path for future development. The company that was used for the research is a perfect example how VBM methods used for valuation can provide us with broader picture and inform investors about the company. On the other hand, the methods can also provide a large source of information that can be useful to the company’s management.
Ključne besede: Macroeconomic analysis, valuation methods, Monte Carlo simulation, intrinsic value, risk profile
Objavljeno v DKUM: 30.11.2017; Ogledov: 2897; Prenosov: 302
.pdf Celotno besedilo (5,11 MB)

The analysis of barriers in succession processes of family business with the use of grey incidence analysis (Polish Perspective)
Ewa Więcek-Janka, Rafał Mierzwiak, Joanna Kijewska, 2016, izvirni znanstveni članek

Opis: The article presents results of research on the identification and evaluation of barriers faced by successors in family businesses during the first process of succession. The analysis of empirical material used grey systems theory, which was considered as an equivalent for the analysis of small samples and qualitative research. While conducting the literature review and empirical study, the authors concentrated on (a) the identification of barriers in the development of family firms and (b) eliciting the perspective of the new generation of owners in family firms entering the succession process through an empirical analysis of the assessed level of risk in relationships with family and business.
Ključne besede: family business, company performance, business efficiency, leadership, ownership, family, risk, research, grey incidence analysis, grey system theory
Objavljeno v DKUM: 14.11.2017; Ogledov: 1348; Prenosov: 389
.pdf Celotno besedilo (695,38 KB)
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Insights into population health management through disease diagnoses networks
Keith Feldman, Gregor Štiglic, Dipanwita Dasgupta, Mark Kricheff, Zoran Obradović, Nitesh Chawla, 2016, izvirni znanstveni članek

Opis: The increasing availability of electronic health care records has provided remarkable progress in the field of population health. In particular the identification of disease risk factors has flourished under the surge of available data. Researchers can now access patient data across a broad range of demographics and geographic locations. Utilizing this Big healthcare data researchers have been able to empirically identify specific high-risk conditions found within differing populations. However to date the majority of studies approached the issue from the top down, focusing on the prevalence of specific diseases within a population. Through our work we demonstrate the power of addressing this issue bottom-up by identifying specifically which diseases are higher-risk for a specific population. In this work we demonstrate that network-based analysis can present a foundation to identify pairs of diagnoses that differentiate across population segments. We provide a case study highlighting differences between high and low income individuals in the United States. This work is particularly valuable when addressing population health management within resource-constrained environments such as community health programs where it can be used to provide insight and resource planning into targeted care for the population served.
Ključne besede: population screening, risk factors, network analysis
Objavljeno v DKUM: 23.06.2017; Ogledov: 1348; Prenosov: 377
.pdf Celotno besedilo (743,53 KB)
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Diskontna mera pri uporabi metod, ki temeljijo na diskontiranem denarnem toku za potrebe analize nepremičninskih investicij in vrednotenja nepremičnin
Igor Pšunder, Andreja Cirman, 2011, pregledni znanstveni članek

Opis: Uporaba metod analize nepremičninskih in drugih naložb, ki temeljijo na diskontiranju denarnega toka, se je uveljavila šele v zadnjih nekaj desetletjih. Kljub relativno veliki razširjenosti metod, ki temeljijo na diskontiranju denarnega toka, projektni vodje po lastnem mnenju ne poznajo dovolj posebnosti metod, celo takšnih ne, ki bi lahko privedle do napačnih odločitev (npr. navzkrižne indikacije metode neto sedanje vrednosti in notranje donosnosti). Ena ključnih pomanjkljivosti uporabe metod analize naložb, ki temeljijo na diskontiranju denarnega toka, pa je ne dovolj natančnodoločena diskontna mera oziroma mera kapitalizacije. Metode, ki temeljijo na diskontiranju denarnega toka, niso namenjene zgolj analizi ekonomske upravičenosti projektov, temveč je na diskontiranem denarnem toku zasnovano tudi vrednotenje posebnih nepremičnin v sistemu množičnega vrednotenja nepremičnin v Sloveniji. V tem članku je obravnavan pomen diskontne mere za analizo in vrednotenje nepremičninskih projektov. V teoretičnem delu so predstavljene zasnova metod, ki temeljijo na diskontiranemdenarnem toku, sestava diskontne mere in mere kapitalizacije ter simulacija vpliva diskontne mere oziroma mere kapitalizacije na rezultate evalvacije in vrednotenja. Empirični del sloni na anketi med pooblaščenimi ocenjevalci vrednosti nepremičnin pri nas. Anketa je bila izvedena v februarjuin marcu 2011 med pooblaščenimi ocenjevalci vrednosti nepremičnin, v njej je sodelovalo 32,9 % vseh pooblaščenih ocenjevalcev vrednosti nepremičninv Sloveniji. Odgovori so statistično obdelani, iz rezultatov pa so pridobljeni podatki za diskontno mero za različne vrste nepremičnin ter izračunane premije za tveganja ter premije za ohranitev kapitala pri različnihvrstah nepremičnin.
Ključne besede: diskontna mera, mera kapitalizacije, premija za tveganje, premija za ohranitev kapitala, neto sedanja vrednost, analiza nepremičninskih naložb, discount rate, capitalisation rate, risk premium, capital recovery premium, net present value, real estate investment analysis, special real estate appraisal
Objavljeno v DKUM: 10.07.2015; Ogledov: 2536; Prenosov: 129
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