1. Fiscal multiplier and the role of income and wealth inequalityMarko Senekovič, Jani Bekő, 2025, izvirni znanstveni članek Opis: There is a lack of research concerning the influence of economic inequality on the size of fiscal multipliers. To address this, we apply a VAR methodological framework to assess the magnitude of fiscal multipliers for 47 economies, using a new quarterly dataset spanning the period from 1995 to 2021. We then gauge the impact of the battery of income and wealth inequality measures on the size of government consumption multipliers. To ensure the robustness of the results, a yearly panel data sample was also tested. The key findings of our empirical exercise can be outlined as follows. First, the estimated government consumption multipliers exhibit a generally positive trajectory throughout the forecast horizon in approximately 66% of the countries analysed, while in 19% of the sample, they remain largely negative, and in the remaining 15% of cases, they display a mixed pattern, being positive only during certain periods. Second, in 53% of the countries examined, the fiscal multiplier exceeds the threshold of one at least once during the forecast period, suggesting a greater output effect of fiscal expansion in these countries. Third, the more pronounced the income and wealth inequality in a country, the higher the value of the fiscal multiplier. This research outcome supports the proposition that higher economic inequality, especially income inequality, will generate greater government spending effects.
Ključne besede: fiscal policy, fiscal multiplier, economic inequality, panel VAR
Objavljeno v DKUM: 12.06.2025; Ogledov: 0; Prenosov: 442
 Celotno besedilo (2,81 MB)
Gradivo ima več datotek! Več... |
2. Countries' structural characteristics and the magnitude of fiscal shockMarko Senekovič, 2025, izvirni znanstveni članek Opis: The transmission channels of stabilizing fiscal policy remain partially unexplored, which presents a challenge for the effective management of economic policy. Using a broad dataset and vector autoregression methodology, this paper examines the relationship between selected structural characteristics of economies and the magnitude of fiscal multipliers. The results indicate that fiscal multipliers tend to be smaller in more developed economies, in business-friendly environments, and in EU and EMU member states. Additionally, findings on public and private debt, as well as savings levels, suggest that fiscal multipliers are higher in countries where a larger share of economic agents faces liquidity constraints. Consequently, increased public spending, driven by households' higher marginal propensity to consume, produces a stronger impact on output through the multiplier effect. Our results provide a foundation for fiscal policymakers to design appropriate measures tailored to the specific characteristics of individual economies, aiming to enhance the effectiveness of stabilization policies. Consequently, fiscal stimulus can achieve a greater impact while ensuring the efficient allocation of taxpayer resources.
Ključne besede: fiscal multiplier, structural determinants, wealth inequality, VAR
Objavljeno v DKUM: 28.05.2025; Ogledov: 0; Prenosov: 5
Celotno besedilo (475,54 KB)
Gradivo ima več datotek! Več... |
3. Economic inequality and the size of government expenditure shocks : an empirical exerciseMarko Senekovič, 2024, izvirni znanstveni članek Opis: Empirical literature explains the heterogeneity of fiscal multiplier
estimates through the analysis of various cyclical and structural
determinants of economies, with economic inequality, as one of the key
structural characteristics, receiving relatively little attention so far. In
this study, using a wide sample of countries and applying the vector
autoregression methodology, we first estimated fiscal multipliers and
the impact of fiscal stimuli on the dynamics of the price level. The
findings indicate that the estimated fiscal multipliers are mostly
positive, and fiscal stimuli tend to produce an inflationary effect.
Subsequently, we examined the variability in the size of fiscal
multipliers in relation to various indicators of income and wealth
inequality. The key findings of this study reveal that as economic
inequality increases, particularly in the context of income disparities,
the size of fiscal multipliers also rises. This insight is particularly
important for policymakers in designing appropriate fiscal measures in
an evolving macroeconomic environment.
Ključne besede: fiscal multiplier, income inequality, wealth inequality, VAR
Objavljeno v DKUM: 28.05.2025; Ogledov: 0; Prenosov: 2
 Povezava na datoteko |
