Iskanje po katalogu digitalne knjižnice

Opis: In this paper we analyse the behaviour of the LJSEX, the main index of the Ljubljana Stock Exchange, in the period from January 2000 till May 2010. More precisely, we test for the presence of bubbles and antibubbles and try to determine whether or not a bubble could have been predicted (both the formation and the date of the bubble burst). Second, we also employ techniques used to model antibubbles to forecast the future behaviour of the LJSE index. Besides modelling index dynamics for the aforementioned period, we also seek to determine the factors that led to the bubble forming and later bursting. We find that the bubble could have been forecasted at least several months in advance. On the other hand, a very precise date of the crash seems harder to identify. By more closely analysing the interplay between interest rates, credit activity and the LJSEX, we conclude that there is a clear connection between decreasing interest rates, increased credit activity and the formation of a stock bubble. If there is a clear correlation between the early phase of a bubble and increased credit activity of the banking sector, the link between the end of the bubble and the restriction of credit activity is less pronounced. By fitting the extended antibubble model from (Johansen 1999a) we obtain the values of parameters that give us some indication of the future behaviour of the LJSEX. Based on these results we conclude that in the next few years we are likely to experience a period of increased volatility with no clear increasing or decreasing growth pattern.
Ključne besede: exchange, interest rate, business mathematics, calculations, models
Objavljeno: 22.01.2018; Ogledov: 595; Prenosov: 291
Celotno besedilo (698,29 KB)
Gradivo ima več datotek! Več...

Opis: The purpose of this paper is to create and test the practical application of a business process management maturity assessment conducted at two different grade levels (management and professional level) in an organization. The conceptual framework for this research includes creating a business process maturity indicator (BPMI) for six process areas: strategy, documentation, optimization, implementation, execution, and controlling. The comparative analysis of the business process management maturity is performed using the BPMI on two cases: inside a single organization and the sector internally.
Ključne besede: management, business process, models, strategy, optimization, execution, control
Objavljeno: 13.11.2017; Ogledov: 520; Prenosov: 117
Celotno besedilo (313,24 KB)
Gradivo ima več datotek! Več...

Opis: The existence and development of humankind depends a lot upon a co-ordinatet operation of all areas and levels of human activity. However, in either theory or practice we found no model of operation, which would offer a harmonized and target oriented development. A possible solution is offered by sustainable development, which tries to the define and carry out common goals of human kind with a holistic harmonization of humans activities at all levels of their living and behaviour. Companies belong to central institutions of the modern society and assentially co-create the sustainability of society. Companies endeavour (e.g. by simulation and planning) to prepare models of their goals and ways concerning their internal and external environment. On the basis of systems approach, we can define companies as business systems, which can best survive in a log-run on the basis of sustainable development. This business system's effort can also be supported by the application of the ancipatory systems thinking which can improve its planning methods, if it is holistic, understood as a future oriented mental activity made of its methodological approach, techniques, and modes of work. Its characteristics have a direct impact of holism of the definition of goals, on the orientation of operation, and hence achievement of the business system's results.
Ključne besede: business systems, sustainable development, development, models, business, planning, business planning, results
Objavljeno: 04.07.2017; Ogledov: 460; Prenosov: 81
Celotno besedilo (379,96 KB)
Gradivo ima več datotek! Več...

Ključne besede: textile and clothing industry, Slovenia, restructuring, business models
Objavljeno: 06.06.2012; Ogledov: 1574; Prenosov: 29
Povezava na celotno besedilo

Ključne besede: electronic commerce, government, administration, budgets, democration, computer application, users, electronic money, electronic payments, security, data analysis, information system, information science, business, commerce, models, advertising, Internet, computer networks, electronic mail, services, media, public services, regional policy, cases, retail trade
Objavljeno: 01.06.2012; Ogledov: 1629; Prenosov: 28
Povezava na celotno besedilo