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1.
Agile Machine Learning Model Development Using Data Canyons in Medicine : A Step towards Explainable Artificial Intelligence and Flexible Expert-Based Model Improvement
Bojan Žlahtič, Jernej Završnik, Helena Blažun Vošner, Peter Kokol, David Šuran, Tadej Završnik, 2023, original scientific article

Abstract: Over the past few decades, machine learning has emerged as a valuable tool in the field of medicine, driven by the accumulation of vast amounts of medical data and the imperative to harness this data for the betterment of humanity. However, many of the prevailing machine learning algorithms in use today are characterized as black-box models, lacking transparency in their decision-making processes and are often devoid of clear visualization capabilities. The transparency of these machine learning models impedes medical experts from effectively leveraging them due to the high-stakes nature of their decisions. Consequently, the need for explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) that aims to address the demand for transparency in the decision-making mechanisms of black-box algorithms has arisen. Alternatively, employing white-box algorithms can empower medical experts by allowing them to contribute their knowledge to the decision-making process and obtain a clear and transparent output. This approach offers an opportunity to personalize machine learning models through an agile process. A novel white-box machine learning algorithm known as Data canyons was employed as a transparent and robust foundation for the proposed solution. By providing medical experts with a web framework where their expertise is transferred to a machine learning model and enabling the utilization of this process in an agile manner, a symbiotic relationship is fostered between the domains of medical expertise and machine learning. The flexibility to manipulate the output machine learning model and visually validate it, even without expertise in machine learning, establishes a crucial link between these two expert domains.
Keywords: XAI, explainable artificial intelligence, data canyons, machine learning, transparency, agile development, white-box model
Published in DKUM: 14.03.2024; Views: 299; Downloads: 36
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2.
Stohastično modeliranje obrestnih mer
Ines Štampar, 2020, master's thesis

Abstract: Magistrsko delo obravnava napoved obrestnih mer in vpliv gibanja obrestnih mer na anuiteto dolgoročnega kredita. V prvem delu je na kratko povzeta teorija stohastičnih procesov, Brownovega gibanja in Itôvega procesa. Za napoved obrestnih mer so bili uporabljeni Vasickov, CIR in Hull-Whiteov model. V drugem delu so opisane lastnosti modelov ter izpeljava pričakovane vrednosti in variance. V tretjem delu sledi modeliranje 3-mesečnega Euribor-ja. Uporabljena je metoda največje verjetnosti za Vasickov in CIR model, za Hull-Whiteov model pa metoda najmanjšega verjetja. Vključene so napovedi posameznega modela in pregled gibanja naslednjih 20 let. V četrtem delu so analizirani možni načini najema dolgoročnega kredita, predvsem odločitev o fiksni ali spremenljivi obrestni meri. Glede na dobljene rezultate napovedi obrestnih mer je sestavljen amortizacijski načrt in potek dolgoročnega kredita. Delo je zaključeno s poglavjem, kjer so podani odgovori na vprašanje, ali se splača najeti nov kredit in poplačati starega (glede na nizke vrednosti trenutnih obrestnih mer).
Keywords: Stohastični model, obrestne mere, Vasicek, CIR, Hull-White, napoved, kredit, amortizacija
Published in DKUM: 20.01.2021; Views: 1143; Downloads: 117
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3.
ERROR PROBABILITY MODEL FOR IEEE 802.15.4 WIRELESS TRANSMISSION WITH CO-CHANNEL INTERFERENCE AND BACKGROUND NOISE
Uroš Pešović, 2016, doctoral dissertation

Abstract: Data transmission sent through wireless channel is usually affected by background noise, multipath fading and interference which cause data errors. Influence of such disturbances is the most commonly expressed in a form of error probability statistics. Effects of these disturbances on IEEE 802.15.4 wireless transmissions are previously studied, except influence of co-channel interference (CCI) which originates from collision between IEEE 802.15.4 devices which perform simultaneous radio transmission. Our thesis puts forward the assumption that it is possible to derive more accurate analytical error probability model for higher data level error probability parameters without the idealization of PN spreading sequences. Additionally, thesis is that is possible to derive an accurate analytical error probability model in the case of CCI influenced by background noise by consideration of constellation diagram. IEEE 802.15.4 standard uses CSMA/CA (Carrier Sense Multiple Access with Collision Detection) channel access mechanism to prevent collisions between devices, but this mechanism doesn't provide protection from hidden node problem which is primary source of co-channel interference. Using Monte Carlo simulations we determined frequency of hidden node collisions, which shown that co-channel interference frequently occur in parts of the network with high traffic load. Some prior works in this field tend to idealize these non-ideal spreading sequences in order to simplify calculations for error probability parameters. Our doctor thesis presents analytical model of data level error probability parameters (symbol, bit and packet) for IEEE 802.15.4, which uses original non-ideal spreading sequences without their idealization. Proposed error probability model consists of mutually dependent chip, symbol, bit and packet error probability models. Derived error probability models are linked together, so each of error probability parameters can be determined using error probability parameter from the previous stage. Error probability model for IEEE 802.15.4 wireless communication could be used in network simulation tools in order to accurately simulate energy efficient medium access protocols in realistic scenarios. Presented theoretical results are tested by independent numerical simulation of IEEE 802.15.4 transmission according to Monte Carlo method. Simulation results shows that derived models for error probability parameters were matched by two simulation scenarios in background noise, for multipath fading and co-channel interface, respectively Furthermore, the accuracy of derived mathematical models was tested in real-world experiment using IEEE 802.15.4 compliant wireless transceivers for creating co-channel interference. Packets were received by software defined radio platform, which enabled realization of coherent receiver in which all error probability statistics could be collected. The results of the experiment show consistency with proposed analytical error probability models, but some deviations are caused by poor preamble synchronization under low SNR (Signal to Noise Ratio) value. The thesis was proved with Monte Carlo simulations of the physical level of the IEEE 802.15.4 communication and experimental measurements on a real physical communication system.
Keywords: IEEE 802.15.4 standard, error probability model, co-channel interference, Rician fading channel, additive white Gaussian noise, wireless transmission, wireless sensor networks, numerical simulations, software defined radio
Published in DKUM: 14.10.2016; Views: 2502; Downloads: 147
.pdf Full text (8,20 MB)

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