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1.
Predictive modelling of weld bead geometry in wire arc additive manufacturing
Kristijan Šket, Miran Brezočnik, Timi Karner, Rok Belšak, Mirko Ficko, Tomaž Vuherer, Janez Gotlih, 2025, original scientific article

Abstract: This study investigates the predictive modelling of weld bead geometry in wire arc additive manufacturing (WAAM) through advanced machine learning methods. While WAAM is valued for its ability to produce large, complex metal parts with high deposition rates, precise control of the weld bead remains a critical challenge due to its influence on mechanical properties and dimensional accuracy. To address this problem, this study utilized machine learning approaches—Ridge regression, Lasso regression and Bayesian ridge regression, Random Forest and XGBoost—to predict the key weld bead characteristics, namely height, width and cross-sectional area. A Design of experiments (DOE) was used to systematically vary the welding current and travelling speed, with 3D weld bead geometries captured by laser scanning. Robust data pre-processing, including outlier detection and feature engineering, improved modelling accuracy. Among the models tested, XGBoost provided the highest prediction accuracy, emphasizing its potential for real-time control of WAAM processes. Overall, this study presents a comprehensive framework for predictive modelling and provides valuable insights for process optimization and the further development of intelligent manufacturing systems.
Keywords: wire arc additive manufacturing, WA AM, predictive modelling, machine learning, weld bead geometry, XGBoost
Published in DKUM: 13.03.2025; Views: 0; Downloads: 6
.pdf Full text (3,54 MB)

2.
Contribution of temporal data to predictive performance in 30-day readmission of morbidly obese patients
Petra Povalej Bržan, Zoran Obradović, Gregor Štiglic, 2017, original scientific article

Abstract: Background: Reduction of readmissions after discharge represents an important challenge for many hospitals and has attracted the interest of many researchers in the past few years. Most of the studies in this field focus on building cross-sectional predictive models that aim to predict the occurrence of readmission within 30-days based on information from the current hospitalization. The aim of this study is demonstration of predictive performance gain obtained by inclusion of information from historical hospitalization records among morbidly obese patients. Methods: The California Statewide inpatient database was used to build regularized logistic regression models for prediction of readmission in morbidly obese patients (n = 18,881). Temporal features were extracted from historical patient hospitalization records in a one-year timeframe. Five different datasets of patients were prepared based on the number of available hospitalizations per patient. Sample size of the five datasets ranged from 4,787 patients with more than five hospitalizations to 20,521 patients with at least two hospitalization records in one year. A 10-fold cross validation was repeted 100 times to assess the variability of the results. Additionally, random forest and extreme gradient boosting were used to confirm the results. Results: Area under the ROC curve increased significantly when including information from up to three historical records on all datasets. The inclusion of more than three historical records was not efficient. Similar results can be observed for Brier score and PPV value. The number of selected predictors corresponded to the complexity of the dataset ranging from an average of 29.50 selected features on the smallest dataset to 184.96 on the largest dataset based on 100 repetitions of 10-fold cross-validation. Discussion: The results show positive influence of adding information from historical hospitalization records on predictive performance using all predictive modeling techniques used in this study. We can conclude that it is advantageous to build separate readmission prediction models in subgroups of patients with more hospital admissions by aggregating information from up to three previous hospitalizations.
Keywords: readmission prediction, predictive modelling, temporal data
Published in DKUM: 02.08.2017; Views: 1962; Downloads: 384
.pdf Full text (1,10 MB)
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