1. Forecasting US tourists' inflow to Slovenia by modified holt-winters damped model : a case in the tourism industry logistics and supply chainsDejan Dragan, Abolfazl Keshavarzsaleh, Tomaž Kramberger, Borut Jereb, Maja Rosi, 2019, original scientific article Abstract: Forecasting is important in many branches of logistics, including the logistics related to Tourism supply chains. With an increasing inflow of American tourists, planning and forecasting the US tourists' inflow to Slovenia have gained far more importance attention amongst scholars and practitioners. This study, therefore, was conducted to forecast the American tourists' inflow to Slovenia using one of the predictive models based on the exponential smoothing approach, namely Holt-Winters damped additive (HWDA) exponential smoothing method. The model was modified by several improvements, while the obtained results were generalized to other supply chain components. The results show that the forecasting system can predict well the observed inflow, while the methodology used to derive the model might have enriched the plethora of existing practical forecasting approaches in the tourism domain. Benchmarking demonstrates that the proposed model outperforms a competitive ARIMA model and official forecasts. The practical implications are also discussed in this paper.
Keywords: tourism, forecasting, Holt-Winters model, US tourists, supply chains, logistics
Published in DKUM: 22.08.2024; Views: 42; Downloads: 8
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2. XV. International Conference on Logistics in Agriculture 2021 : conference proceedings2021, proceedings Abstract: The 15th International Conference on Logistics in Agriculture, which has been organized by the Municipality of Sevnica, Grm Novo mesto - Biotechnics and Tourism Center, Faculty of Logistics, University of Maribor, Landscape Governance College GRM and Cooperative Union of Slovenia has this year's central theme the Climate Change in Logistics in Agriculture. The conference has become traditional and pays attention to the ways for different views of logistics in connection with agriculture. That is why we/the organizers have invited lecturers on the topic Impact of climate change in agriculture.
Keywords: logistics, agriculture, biotechnics, tourism, landscape governance, conference proceedings
Published in DKUM: 10.11.2021; Views: 1340; Downloads: 140
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3. Management and logistics : selected topicsBorut Jereb, Mimo Drašković, Irena Gorenak, Sanja Bauk, Maja Fošner, Bojan Rosi, Drago Pupavac, Darja Topolšek, Oleksandr Dorokhov, Uroš Kramar, Željko Ivanović, Marjan Sternad, Matjaž Knez, Sonja Mlaker Kač, Ludmila Malyaretz, Matevž Obrecht, Tina Cvahte Ojsteršek, 2016, scientific monograph Abstract: The scientific monograph titled Logistics and Management – selected topics is the result of a bilateral project, lasting from 2013 to 2015 and titled “Preparation of a joint scientific monograph in the field of logistics and management issued at the Faculty of Logistics in Celje and the Maritime Faculty of Kotor”. The project was managed by Professor Maja Fošner, PhD, from the Faculty of Logistics at the University of Maribor, and Professor Veselin Draskovic, PdD, from the Maritime Faculty of Kotor, Montenegro.
The main goal of the monograph is to give a comprehensive account of selected areas from the field of logistics and challenges in the development of logistics, such as risk management and supply chains, transport cost, competences in logistics, urban logistics, green logistics, seaport cooperation, logistics network optimisation, logistics in tourism, logistics in performance management, systemic logistics providers and solutions to problems of transportation task.
Wishing to offer a comprehensive presentation of various areas in the field of logistics, the authors of the monograph contributions, who participated on the project (Maja Fošner, Bojan Rosi, Borut Jereb, Marjan Sternad, Veselin Draskovic (ed.), Mimo Draskovic, Sanja Bauk, Senka Sekulac-Ivosevic), invited to cooperation also other researchers from the Faculty of Logistics and the Maritime Faculty of Kotor (Irena Gorenak, Matjaž Knez, Matevž Obrecht, Sonja Mlaker Kač, Tina Cvahte, Darja Topolsek, Drago Pupavac, Zeljko Ivanovic, Oleksandr Dorokhov, and Ludmila Malyaretz) who enriched the present monograph with their contributions.
The monograph is aimed at professional public and anyone interested in the field of logistics. It should also serve as a useful aid in the study of logistics.
Keywords: logistics, management, risk management, supply chains, transport cost, urban logistics, green logistics, seaport cooperation, logistics network, optimisation, logistics in tourism, logistics in performance management, systemic logistics providers
Published in DKUM: 08.05.2018; Views: 1694; Downloads: 307
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4. Tourism sector, travel agencies, and transport suppliers : comparison of different estimators in the structural equation modelingNataša Kovačić, Darja Topolšek, Dejan Dragan, 2015, original scientific article Abstract: The paper addresses the effect of external integration (EI) with transport suppliers on the efficiency of travel agencies in the tourism sector supply chains. The main aim is the comparison of different estimation methods used in the structural equation modeling (SEM), applied to discover possible relationships between EIs and efficiencies. The latter are calculated by the means of data envelopment analysis (DEA). While designing the structural equation model, the exploratory and confirmatory factor analyses are also used as preliminary statistical procedures. For the estimation of parameters of SEM model, three different methods are explained, analyzed and compared: maximum likelihood (ML) method, Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo (BMCMC) method, and unweighted least squares (ULS) method. The study reveals that all estimation methods calculate comparable estimated parameters. The results also give an evidence of good model fit performance. Besides, the research confirms that the amplified external integration with transport providers leads to increased efficiency of travel agencies, which might be a very interesting finding for the operational management.
Keywords: tourism sector, structural equation modeling, estimation methods, external integration, efficiency, travel agencies, logistics
Published in DKUM: 03.04.2017; Views: 1429; Downloads: 193
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5. Integration of travel agencies with other supply chain members : impact on efficiencyDarja Topolšek, Dejan Dragan, 2016, original scientific article Abstract: The performance of tourism supply chains depends on the efficiency of all members involved, including the travel agencies. The paper addresses the analysis of relationships between the agencies' external integration with other supply chain members on one side, and the efficiency of the agencies on the other. The data envelopment analysis is applied for the estimation of efficiencies, while the structural equation modelling (SEM) is conducted for identification of possible integration impacts on the efficiency. Results show that integration with other supply chain members indeed has some positive impacts on the agencies' efficiency. Also, the developed SEM model implies that in-depth forms of collaboration would enable more effective exploitation of the identified relations between the integration and efficiency of the agencies. This finding could be an important guideline for the agencies' management in the sense of achieving more satisfied customers and bigger profits, as well as reduced operational costs.
Keywords: tourism sector, supply chains, structural equation modeling, external integration, efficiency, travel agencies, logistics
Published in DKUM: 03.04.2017; Views: 1221; Downloads: 233
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