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Supplementary material for paper Comparison of the evolution of the COVID-19 disease between Romania and Italy
Ciprian Chiruţa, Emilian Bulgariu, Jurij Avsec, Brigita Ferčec, Matej Mencinger, 2020, complete scientific database or corpus

Keywords: COVID-19 pandemic evolution, time dependent SIR model, coronavirus
Published: 23.12.2020; Views: 173; Downloads: 511
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2.
Comparison of the evolution of the COVID-19 disease between Romania and Italy
Ciprian Chiruţa, Emilian Bulgariu, Jurij Avsec, Brigita Ferčec, Matej Mencinger, 2020, original scientific article

Abstract: After the outbreak of COVID-19 in Italy, thousands of Romanian citizens who worked in Northern Italy, Spain or Germany returned to Romania. Based on the time-dependent susceptible–infected–recovered—SIR model, this paper compares the evolution of the COVID-19 disease between Romania and Italy, assuming that the parameter value of R0 in the time-dependent SIR model decreases to R1 < R0 after publicly announced restrictions by the government, and increases to a value of R2 < R1 when the restrictions are lifted. Among other things, we answer the questions about the date and extent of the second peak in Italy and Romania with respect to different values of R2 and the duration of the restrictions.
Keywords: COVID-19 pandemic evolution, time dependent SIR model, coronavirus
Published: 22.12.2020; Views: 164; Downloads: 67
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